BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Thornburg Tri-County

Class: 1A Class Rank: 10 Conference: (18-3) Overall: (21-4) Overall Strength =   86.00

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2005 Home    W *  81.48  60   43   2A  107 ( 8-14) Belle Plaine           -6.29     23.29                      
  2 12/02/2005 Away    W *  93.61  96   55   2A  126 ( 3-19) Sigourney               5.84 *   35.16                      
  3 12/06/2005 Home    W *  89.03  45   35   2A   44 (18- 5) Montezuma               1.26      8.74                      
  4 12/09/2005 Away    W *  87.18  65   48   2A   90 (10-12) Brooklyn BGM           -0.59     17.59                      
  5 12/13/2005 Away    W *  74.40  54   49   1A   69 (13-10) Keota                 -13.38     18.38                      
  6 12/16/2005 Away    W * 102.00  80   28   1A  122 ( 1-21) English Valleys        14.23 *   37.77                      
  7 12/17/2005 Home    W *  94.56  58   36   1A   46 (15- 9) Lynnville-Sully         6.79     15.21                      
  8 12/20/2005 Home    W *  87.25  62   35   1A   92 ( 6-16) Victor HLV             -0.52 *   27.52                      
  9 01/06/2006 Home    W * 106.58  73   21   1A  109 ( 6-17) Marengo Iowa Valley    18.81 *   33.19                      
 10 01/07/2006 Home    W    94.04  71   51   1A   36 (17- 6) Walnut Ridge            6.27     13.73                      
 11 01/10/2006 Away    W * 106.29  84   46   2A  107 ( 8-14) Belle Plaine           18.51     19.49                      
 12 01/13/2006 Home    W *  68.81  62   42   2A  126 ( 3-19) Sigourney             -18.96 *   38.96                      
 13 01/17/2006 Away    L *  80.03  60   81   1A    2 (25- 1) North Mahaska          -7.75    -13.25                      
 14 01/20/2006 Away    L *  77.83  48   53   2A   44 (18- 5) Montezuma              -9.94      4.94                      
 15 01/24/2006 Home    W *  75.38  54   45   2A   90 (10-12) Brooklyn BGM          -12.40     21.40                      
 16 01/27/2006 Away    W *  80.36  57   53   1A   46 (15- 9) Lynnville-Sully        -7.41     11.41                      
 17 01/31/2006 Home    W *  85.59  61   41   1A   69 (13-10) Keota                  -2.18     22.18                      
 18 02/03/2006 Home    W *  97.20  87   36   1A  122 ( 1-21) English Valleys         9.43 *   41.57                      
 19 02/07/2006 Away    W *  82.05  57   39   1A   92 ( 6-16) Victor HLV             -5.72     23.72                      
 20 02/14/2006 Away    W *  98.38  67   27   1A  109 ( 6-17) Marengo Iowa Valley    10.61 *   29.39                      
 21 02/17/2006 Home    L *  88.22  56   65   1A    2 (25- 1) North Mahaska           0.45     -9.45                      
 22 02/22/2006 Away    W *  78.38  62   42   1A  109 ( 6-17) Marengo Iowa Valley    -9.39 *   29.39                      
 23 02/27/2006 Neutral W   100.44  64   37   1A   43 (13-10) Alburnett              12.67     14.33                      
 24 03/02/2006 Neutral W    80.51  65   60   1A   38 (17- 8) Lone Tree              -7.26     12.26                      
 25 03/04/2006 Neutral L    84.68  42   44   1A   12 (24- 4) Wayland WACO           -3.09      1.09                      
      Averages              87.77  63.6 44.5

Best game:  106.58 = 52 point win over Marengo Iowa Valley
Worst game:  68.81 = 20 point win over Sigourney
Team stdev:  10.24